What do scientists say about the consequences of the CoVID-19 pandemic
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2025 8:48 am
The second lesson is that public awareness is the key to controlling the pandemic. We are already seeing the terrible consequences of the suppression of information in Iran today - at the time of writing, the country has recorded over 16,000 cases of infection and almost 1,000 deaths. We must not forget that the truth always comes out - hiding it will not achieve anything.
The third lesson is that we must be prepared for any consequences of COVID-19. This pandemic is a shock to both supply and demand. The labor costs associated with implementing the recommended 14 days of self-isolation for only those suspected of being infected will have serious economic consequences. Locking down entire regions or countries, as China kuwait number data and Italy have recently done, will undoubtedly cause a recession — a slowdown in economic growth and a financial crisis.
In January, Professor of Biology at the University of Pennsylvania, Massie Bony, an epidemiologist with eight years of experience in the field, wrote in an article for The Conversation that he believes the reported death toll from the COVID-19 epidemic in China is not reflecting the real picture. Bony believes that mortality from new diseases always looks high in the early stages of an outbreak, so it is likely that the data will decrease in the future. However, after 8 weeks, the scientist’s opinion has changed. Today, he believes that new data indicating a decrease in mortality may never arrive.
Case fatality rates are calculated using officially recorded numbers, which include only those people who a) experience symptoms; b) decide that their symptoms are severe enough to seek help; c) choose a hospital or clinic where they can be tested for the virus.
Scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Imperial College London and the Institute for Disease Modelling have estimated the mortality rate from infections. The estimates range from 0.5% to 0.94%, suggesting that COVID-19 is about 10-20 times more deadly than seasonal flu. Data from another large-scale study are consistent with the results. The one potentially good news is that the epidemic in South Korea may end up being lower than the epidemic in China. But to be honest, this doesn’t really match the real data from China and Italy.
The third lesson is that we must be prepared for any consequences of COVID-19. This pandemic is a shock to both supply and demand. The labor costs associated with implementing the recommended 14 days of self-isolation for only those suspected of being infected will have serious economic consequences. Locking down entire regions or countries, as China kuwait number data and Italy have recently done, will undoubtedly cause a recession — a slowdown in economic growth and a financial crisis.
In January, Professor of Biology at the University of Pennsylvania, Massie Bony, an epidemiologist with eight years of experience in the field, wrote in an article for The Conversation that he believes the reported death toll from the COVID-19 epidemic in China is not reflecting the real picture. Bony believes that mortality from new diseases always looks high in the early stages of an outbreak, so it is likely that the data will decrease in the future. However, after 8 weeks, the scientist’s opinion has changed. Today, he believes that new data indicating a decrease in mortality may never arrive.
Case fatality rates are calculated using officially recorded numbers, which include only those people who a) experience symptoms; b) decide that their symptoms are severe enough to seek help; c) choose a hospital or clinic where they can be tested for the virus.
Scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Imperial College London and the Institute for Disease Modelling have estimated the mortality rate from infections. The estimates range from 0.5% to 0.94%, suggesting that COVID-19 is about 10-20 times more deadly than seasonal flu. Data from another large-scale study are consistent with the results. The one potentially good news is that the epidemic in South Korea may end up being lower than the epidemic in China. But to be honest, this doesn’t really match the real data from China and Italy.